Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.730378 0.940064 1.176043 1.458051 1.782696 2.141681 2.565584
2025-03-09 0.487303 0.763271 1.112240 1.570934 2.143387 2.820617 3.668555
2025-03-16 0.300039 0.586202 0.995312 1.584156 2.373159 3.360032 4.653553
2025-03-23 0.208679 0.504093 0.975483 1.706175 2.739772 4.085767 5.907049
2025-03-30 0.139059 0.424881 0.935610 1.784839 3.045730 4.745452 7.106996
2025-04-06 0.086839 0.348988 0.877935 1.820541 3.284895 5.321297 8.216976
2025-04-13 0.046157 0.267646 0.784967 1.779799 3.399849 5.724263 9.105351
2025-04-20 0.025198 0.217497 0.734056 1.795608 3.593027 6.237234 10.152423
2025-04-27 0.012671 0.177422 0.689928 1.812658 3.782998 6.747083 11.204802
2025-05-04 0.004300 0.132456 0.615988 1.759504 3.850022 7.073775 12.004913
2025-05-11 0.000832 0.095818 0.545036 1.696890 3.890666 7.356152 12.743531
2025-05-18 0.000093 0.076348 0.513798 1.708951 4.056030 7.829421 13.764001
2025-05-25 NaN 0.054341 0.461220 1.667709 4.128279 8.168673 14.611314
2025-06-01 NaN 0.048809 0.468381 1.764296 4.455575 8.918980 16.081853
2025-06-08 NaN 0.036572 0.437570 1.764802 4.604318 9.389786 17.148510
2025-06-15 NaN 0.034625 0.455543 1.888568 4.990788 10.251907 18.815719
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030123 0.456689 1.968889 5.297237 10.991400 20.311172
2025-06-29 NaN 0.023936 0.442020 2.005006 5.518889 11.597196 21.614488
2025-07-06 NaN 0.015644 0.400617 1.960471 5.577780 11.935032 22.515230
2025-07-13 NaN 0.011420 0.382233 1.976820 5.757327 12.475599 23.732884
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008184 0.365593 1.994743 5.939252 13.022360 24.966256
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004398 0.327352 1.937869 5.961311 13.297204 25.781371
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001945 0.289217 1.870924 5.955387 13.521094 26.517882